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SUBSTANTIATION OF THE USE OF MATHEMATICAL APPARATUS OF COGNITIVE MODELING FOR SOLVING PROBLEMS OF ANALYSIS OF FUNCTIONING AND FORECASTING BEHAVIOR OF POORLY STRUCTURED AND POORLY FORMALIZED SYSTEMS

Suzdalsky Dmitry Andreevich  (Postgraduate Student, Russian University of Economics, Moscow, Russia )

The article argues for the use of cognitive modeling, which is an effective tool for analyzing and modeling complex systems that are difficult to structure and quantify. Such systems, known as poorly structured and poorly formalized (SPF systems), are characterized by the lack of clear quantitative relationships between their elements. This is especially evident in socio-economic systems (SES), where a person acts not only as a controlled element, but also as an active subsystem with its own goals and interests, which may contradict the overall goals of the system. A review of existing sources revealed that SPF systems differ in that their behavior and processes cannot be adequately described using quantitative indicators and mathematical models, which significantly complicates their analysis and forecasting. It is emphasized that the most appropriate way to assess the state of the SPF system is to use the mathematical apparatus of cognitive modeling. The modeling technique is presented with a detailed description of the mathematical apparatus.

Keywords:cognitive modeling, poorly structured and poorly formalized systems, SPF systems, socio-economic systems, SES.
 

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Citation link:
Suzdalsky D. A. SUBSTANTIATION OF THE USE OF MATHEMATICAL APPARATUS OF COGNITIVE MODELING FOR SOLVING PROBLEMS OF ANALYSIS OF FUNCTIONING AND FORECASTING BEHAVIOR OF POORLY STRUCTURED AND POORLY FORMALIZED SYSTEMS // Современная наука: актуальные проблемы теории и практики. Серия: Естественные и Технические Науки. -2025. -№06/2. -С. 193-201 DOI 10.37882/2223-2966.2025.06-2.37
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